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Wednesday, 11th June 2014

UK: Understanding the Parental Employment Scenarios Necessary to Meet the 2020 Child Poverty Targets

Source: Social Mobility & Child Poverty Commission (UK)

The Social Mobility and Child Poverty (SMCP) Commission funded research from Landman Economics and the National Institute of Social and Economic Research exploring the parental employment outcomes - employment rates, hours of work and earnings - that would be necessary to meet the absolute and relative child poverty targets set in the Child Poverty Act 2010.

The research uses household survey data and tax-benefit microsimulation modelling to forecast absolute and relative child poverty levels under a range of different scenarios for employment growth and earnings growth in the UK economy between now and 2020.

Its main conclusion is that it very difficult to meet the child poverty targets from improvements to parental employment outcomes alone. Even if the UK achieved OECD-beating parental employment levels - better than the Office for Budget Responsibility expects or to have ever been achieved in the United Kingdom - the statutory child poverty targets in the Child Poverty Act 2010 will be missed by a considerable distance. Parental employment of close to 100% would not be enough to meet the targets within the current tax and benefit system.

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Having begun his career in academic libraries, Adrian Janes has subsequently worked extensively in public libraries, chiefly in enquiry work as an Information Services librarian. In this role he has had particular responsibility for information from both the UK Government and the European Union. He wrote a detailed report on sources for the latter which was published by FreePint in 2007, and has contributed articles to FreePint and ResourceShelf. He is involved in training in information literacy and the use of online reference resources.

A Contributing Editor to DocuTicker, he also write reviews for Pennyblackmusic.

Adrian can be reached at adrian.janes@freepint.com

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