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Monday, 5th October 2009

AEI Announces New Report on Possible Insurgent Responses in Afghanistan

AEI Announces New Report on Possible Insurgent Responses in Afghanistan
Source: American Enterprise Institute

As the Obama administration considers its strategic approach and future resource levels in Afghanistan, AEI Resident Scholar Frederick W. Kagan and coauthor Kimberly Kagan of the Institute for the Study of War have produced a follow-up report to their first study on Afghan force requirements. This second analysis, "Enemy Reactions to the US Strategy and Force Sizing Options," considers how enemy groups and other stakeholders in Afghanistan and Pakistan would respond to several U.S. policy scenarios:

  • Scenario 1: The president orders all U.S. forces out of Afghanistan, including Special Operations Forces (SOF) and classified forces
  • Scenario 2: The president orders U.S. combat forces out of Afghanistan, including all trainers and forces supporting the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF), but not including SOF and classified forces
  • Scenario 3: The president orders U.S. combat forces out of Afghanistan, but trainers, SOF, classified forces, and forces assisting the ANSF remain
  • Scenario 4: U.S. combat forces remain as currently deployed, with additional emphasis on expansion of the ANSF
  • Scenario 5: U.S. combat forces are augmented as proposed by General McChrystal and the expansion of the ANSF is accelerated


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